Can Zhou Yongkang handle the Chen Guangcheng situation in a way that satisfies the remaining members of the Standing Committee or will his peers find his performance unsatisfactory and intervene?
If you consider the situation, in the aftermath of the Bo Xilai challenge to Panda power, the utility and competence of the security apparatus is called into question. Now, faced with an entirely different kind of challenge, that apparatus is getting an entirely different kind of workout.
We certainly won't know in real time. But I suspect by early next year it will be possible to make an educated guess.